Which Factors Drive Major Change and University Dropout? An Analysis on International Degree-Seeking Students at German Universities

Authors

  • Theresa Thies Bavarian State Institute for Higher Education Research and Planning
  • Susanne Falk Bavarian State Institute for Higher Education Research and Planning

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32674/jis.v15i1.5434

Keywords:

international students, university dropout, major change, degree mobility, student satisfaction, university persistence, higher education

Abstract

Germany is a non-English speaking country with a large and growing number of incoming international degree-seeking students. However, their estimated dropout rates are high. This study aims to investigate whether specific challenges faced by international students (e.g., social and academic integration, language learning, financial situation, residence-permit related regulations) are associated with major change and university dropout. The discrete-time competing risk analyses of the first three semesters of an online panel survey of international students in Germany (International Student Survey; N = 3,660) show that satisfaction with the degree program’s content decreases the risk of major change and university dropout. Moreover, the nationality and the associated temporary or permanent residence permit are considered in the students’ educational decisions. Based on the results, we recommend improving the match between students’ interest and their fields of study. Measures to prevent international students from dropping out must thus begin before they start their studies.

Author Biographies

  • Theresa Thies, Bavarian State Institute for Higher Education Research and Planning

    THERESA THIES, M.A., is a PhD student at the University of Bremen and a research associate at the Bavarian State Institute for Higher Education Research and Planning in Munich, Germany. Her major research interests lie in the area of higher education research, migration, internationalization and life course sociology. Email: thies@ihf.bayern.de

  • Susanne Falk, Bavarian State Institute for Higher Education Research and Planning

    SUSANNE FALK, PhD, is a research associate and senior researcher at the Bavarian State Institute for Higher Education Research and Planning in Munich, Germany. Her major research interests lie in the area of academic careers, the transition from higher education institutions into the labor market, academic success, and student dropout. Email: falk@ihf.bayern.de

References

Aina, C., Baici, E., Casalone, G., & Pastore, F. (2022). The determinants of university dropout: A review of the socio-economic literature. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 79. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seps.2021.101102

Apolinarski, B., & Brandt, T. (2018). Ausländische Studierende in Deutschland 2016: Ergebnisse der Befragung bildungsausländischer Studierender im Rahmen der 21. Sozialerhebung des Deutschen Studentenwerks durchgeführt vom Deutschen Zentrum für Hochschul- und Wissenschaftsforschung. Berlin.

Astorne-Figari, C., & Speer, J. (2019). Are changes of major major changes? The roles of grades, gender, and preferences in college major switching. Economics of Education Review, 70, 75–93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2019.03.005

Bean, J. P. (1982). Student attrition, intentions, and confidence: Interaction effects in a path model. Research in Higher Education, 17, 291–320. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00977899

Becker, G. S. (1962). Investment in human capital: A theoretical analysis. Journal of Political Economy, 70(5), 9–49. https://doi.org/10.1086/258724

Beekhoven, S., de Jong, U., & van Hout, H. (2002). Explaining academic progress via combining concepts of integration theory and rational choice theory. Research in Higher Education, 43, 577–600. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1020166215457

Behr, A., Giese, M., Teguim Kamdjou, H. D., & Theune, K. (2020a). Dropping out from higher education in Germany an empirical evaluation of determinants for bachelor students. Open Education Studies, 2(1), 126–148. https://doi.org/10.1515/edu-2020-0104

Behr, A., Giese, M., Teguim Kamdjou, H. D., & Theune, K. (2020b). Dropping out of university: A literature review. Review of Education, 8(2), 614–652. https://doi.org/10.1002/rev3.3202

Behr, A., Giese, M., Teguim Kamdjou, H. D., & Theune, K. (2020c). Early prediction of university dropouts – A random forest approach. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 240(6), 743–789. https://doi.org/10.1515/jbnst-2019-0006

Behr, A., Giese, M., Teguim Kamdjou, H. D., & Theune, K. (2021). Motives for dropping out from higher education—An analysis of bachelor's degree students in Germany. European Journal of Education, 56(2), 325–343. https://doi.org/10.1111/ejed.12433

Breen, R., & Goldthorpe, J. H. (1997). Explaining educational differentials: Towards a formal rational action theory. Rationality and Society, 9(3), 275–305. https://doi.org/10.1177/104346397009003002

Clerici, R., Giraldo, A., & Meggiolaro, S. (2014). The determinants of academic outcomes in a competing risks approach: Evidence from Italy. Studies in Higher Education, 40(9), 1535–1549. https://doi.org/10.1080/03075079.2013.878835

DAAD, & DZHW (2022). Wissenschaft Weltoffen: Facts and figures on the international nature of studies and research in Germany and worldwide. Bielefeld: wbv.

Daller, M., Müller, A., & Wang-Taylor, Y. (2021). The C-test as predictor of the academic success of international students. International Journal of Bilingual Education and Bilingualism, 24(10), 1502–1511. https://doi.org/10.1080/13670050.2020.1747975

Dickhäuser, O., Schöne, C., Spinath, B., & Stiensmeier-Pelster, J. (2002). Die Skalen zum akademischen Selbstkonzept: Konstruktion und Überprüfung eines neuen Instrumentes. Zeitschrift für Differentielle und Diagnostische Psychologie, 23(4), 393–405. https://doi.org/10.1024//0170-1789.23.4.393

Entrich, S. R., & Fujihara, S. (2022). New horizontal inequalities in Japanese education? Examining socioeconomic selectivity in pre-college study abroad intent and participation. Research in Social Stratification and Mobility, 81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rssm.2022.100727

Falk, S., & Thies, T. (2022). Non-response in student surveys: The example of international students in German higher education institutions. In G. Brandt & S. de Vogel (Eds.), Survey-Methoden in der Hochschulforschung (pp. 425–452). Wiesbaden: Springer VS. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-36921-7_15

Federal Ministry of Education and Research (2017). Studiensituation und studentische Orientierungen. 13. Studierendensurvey an Universitäten und Fachhochschulen. Berlin. Retrieved from http://doku.iab.de/externe/2018/k180214r03.pdf

Fellenberg, F., & Hannover, B. (2006). Kaum begonnen, schon zerronnen? Psychologische Ursachenfaktoren für die Neigung von Studienanfängern, das Studium abzubrechen oder das Fach zu wechseln. Empirische Pädagogik, 20(4), 381–399.

García, H. A., Garza, T., & Yeaton-Hromada, K. (2019). Do we belong? A conceptual model for international students' sense of belonging in community colleges. Journal of International Students, 9(2), 460–487. https://doi.org/10.32674/jis.v9i2.669

German Federal Statistical Office (2022). Bildung und Kultur: Studienverlaufsstatistik 2021. Retrieved from https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bildung-Forschung-Kultur/Hochschulen/Publikationen/Downloads-Hochschulen/studienverlaufsstatistik-5213106217004.pdf;jsessionid=74A04E1219B329EBC71742AC04418787.live711?__blob=publicationFile

Ginther, A., & Yan, X. (2018). Interpreting the relationships between TOEFL iBT scores and GPA: Language proficiency, policy, and profiles. Language Testing, 35(2), 271–295. https://doi.org/10.1177/0265532217704010

Heublein, U. (2014). Student drop-out from German higher education institutions. European Journal of Education, 49(4), 497–513. https://doi.org/10.1111/ejed.12097

Heublein, U., Hutzsch, C., & Schmelzer, R. (2022). Die Entwicklung der Studienabbruchquoten in Deutschland. DZHW Brief: Vol. 05. Hannover.

Hu, R., & Trenkic, D. (2021). The effects of coaching and repeated test-taking on Chinese candidates’ IELTS scores, their English proficiency, and subsequent academic achievement. International Journal of Bilingual Education and Bilingualism, 24(10), 1486–1501. https://doi.org/10.1080/13670050.2019.1691498

Kommers, S., & Pham, D. (2016). How Tinto’s theory differs for Asian and non-Asian international students: A quantitative study. Journal of International Students, 6(4), 999–1014. https://doi.org/10.32674/jis.v6i4.331

Lörz, M., Netz, N., & Quast, H. (2016). Why do students from underprivileged families less often intend to study abroad? Higher Education, 72(2), 153–174. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10734-015-9943-1

Mamiseishvili, K. (2012). International student persistence in U.S. postsecondary institutions. Higher Education, 64(1), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10734-011-9477-0

Meggiolaro, S., Giraldo, A., & Clerici, R. (2017). A multilevel competing risks model for analysis of university students’ careers in Italy. Studies in Higher Education, 42(7), 1259–1274. https://doi.org/10.1080/03075079.2015.1087995

Metzner, B. S., & Bean, J. P. (1987). The estimation of a conceptual model of nontraditional undergraduate student attrition. Research in Higher Education, 27(1), 15–38. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00992303

Meyer, J., Leuze, K., & Strauss, S. (2022). Individual achievement, person-major fit, or social expectations: Why do students switch majors in German higher education? Research in Higher Education, 63, 222–247. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-021-09650-y

Müller, L., & Klein, D. (2023). Social inequality in dropout from higher education in Germany. Towards combining the student integration model and rational choice theory. Research in Higher Education, 64(2), 300–330. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-022-09703-w

NEPS (2018). Erhebungsinstrumente (SUF-Version). NEPS Startkohorte 5 – Studierende. Hochschulstudium und Übergang in den Beruf. Wellen 1, 2, und 3 – 3.0.0. Bamberg. Retrieved from https://www.neps-data.de/Portals/0/NEPS/Datenzentrum/Forschungsdaten/SC5/3-0-0/SC5_3-0-0_de.pdf

Netz, N., Klasik, D., Entrich, S. R., & Barker, M. (2021). Socio-demographics: A global overview of inequalities in education abroad participation. In A. C. Ogden, B. Streitwieser, & C. Van Mol (Eds.), Education abroad: Bridging scholarship and practice (pp. 28–42). Abingdon, Oxon, New York: Routledge.

Pfeiffer, F., & Stichnoth, H. (2021). Fiscal and individual rates of return to university education with and without graduation. Applied Economics Letters, 28(16), 1432–1435. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2020.1855299

Pineda, J., Kercher, J., Falk, S., Thies, T., Yildirim, H. H., & Zimmermann, J. (2022). Accompanying international students in Germany to academic success: Results and recommendations from the SeSaBa project (DAAD Studien). Bonn.

Salisbury, M. H., Umbach, P. D., Paulsen, M. B., & Pascarella, E. T. (2009). Going global: Understanding the choice process of the intent to study abroad. Research in Higher Education, 50(2), 119–143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-008-9111-x

Scott, M. A., & Kennedy, B. B. (2005). Pitfalls in pathways: Some perspectives on competing risks event history analysis in education research. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 30(4), 413–442. https://doi.org/10.3102/10769986030004413

Spady, W. G. (1971). Dropouts from higher education: Toward an empirical model. Interchange, 2, 38–62. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02282469

Thies, T. (2023). International students in higher education: The effect of student employment on academic performance and study progress. Higher Education, 86(4), 933-951. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10734-022-00950-5

Thies, T., & Falk, S. (2021). Der Einfluss der Bildungsherkunft auf die Studienabbruchintention von internationalen Studierenden im ersten Studienjahr. In M. Jungbauer-Gans & A. Gottburgsen (Eds.), Migration, Mobilität und soziale Ungleichheit in der Hochschulbildung (pp. 137–167). Wiesbaden: Springer VS. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-31694-5_6

Tieben, N. (2020). Non-completion, transfer, and dropout of traditional and non-traditional students in Germany. Research in Higher Education, 61, 117–141. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-019-09553-z

Tinto, V. (1975). Dropout from higher education: A theoretical synthesis of recent research. Review of Educational Research, 45(1), 89–125. https://doi.org/10.3102/00346543045001089

Tinto, V. (1993). Leaving college: Rethinking the causes and cures of student attrition (2nd ed.). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Westermann, R., Heise, E., Spies, K., & Trautwein, U. (1996). Identifikation und Erfassung von Komponenten der Studienzufriedenheit. Psychologie in Erziehung und Unterricht, 43(1), 1–22.

Yildirim, H. H., Zimmermann, J., & Jonkmann, K. (2021). The importance of a sense of university belonging for the psychological and academic adaptation of international students in Germany. Zeitschrift für Entwicklungspsychologie und Pädagogische Psychologie, 53(1-2), 15–26. https://doi.org/10.1026/0049-8637/a000234

Zimmermann, J., Falk, S., Thies, T., Yildirim, H. H., Kercher, J., & Pineda, J. (2021). Spezifische Problemlagen und Studienerfolg internationaler Studierender in Deutschland. In M. Neugebauer, H.-D. Daniel, & A. Wolter (Eds.), Studienerfolg und Studienabbruch (pp. 177–200). Wiesbaden: Springer VS. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-32892-4_8

Downloads

Published

2023-10-30

How to Cite

Which Factors Drive Major Change and University Dropout? An Analysis on International Degree-Seeking Students at German Universities. (2023). Journal of International Students, 14(1), 326-346. https://doi.org/10.32674/jis.v15i1.5434